The Latest Info on Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have been on a general upward trend for over a year, and in the last few months, they've taken an even bigger jump higher.
As the economy recovered from the pandemic, low interest rates fueled increased spending. At the same time, supply chain issues created shortages for items like microchips, building supplies and certain food items. These factors combined to drive inflation higher as supplies failed to meet demand. According to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI), 12-month inflation hit 8.5% in March, the highest it's been since 1981.
Adding to the inflationary pressures is Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has disrupted some financial markets. This war could also add to global food shortages as agriculture, fuel and fertilizer shipments from these countries are limited or disrupted.
Sitting on the sidelines of all this is the COVID-19 pandemic, while case counts were declining to start 2022 that could change. If we see a resurgence of COVID it could add uncertainty to the global economy.
Is It A Good Time to Buy a House?
Even though mortgage rates are higher now than the previous year, on a historical level, rates still aren't as high as they used to be. For example, in 2002, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was about 7%. In addition, the rate on a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) is lower by 1.3 percentage points than a 30-year fixed mortgage rate. However, the historical average spread between these two rates is about 0.8 percentage points, making the 5-year ARM currently more attractive to borrowers.
Although the most popular form of home financing is the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) are also common. Thus, we may see a change in U.S. household mortgage trends. According to the Federal Reserve of New York, the ARM share has fluctuated substantially over time, reaching highs of 60 to 70 percent in 1994 but falling significantly in recent years. Nevertheless, buyers should be aware that the rate and consequently the monthly mortgage payment will change after the first 5 years, depending on economic conditions.
Experts caution against trying to time the market to secure the lowest mortgage rate, even though mortgage rates are important and a point or two can mean a lot over the life of the loan. Start the home-buying process when it's the next best step for your life circumstances and you have the finances to maintain homeownership. Shop around for a mortgage lender to get the best deal you can at that time–lenders' rates can vary significantly.
Schedule a Consultation with JJ Elek
If you'd like to get a better grasp on mortgage rates, the experts at JJ Elek Realty can help. Schedule a consultation with one of our experts today.